Valuation desk

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Choose a supported public company and add your thesis. DBOT researches the business, writes the report, and gives you the working Excel model.

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Valuation report

SpaceX

SPCX

Public sample · run Jun 11, 2026

Estimated value

$44.23

Market price at run

$135.00

Upside / downside

-67.2%

Method

Discounted cash flow

From the report

The DCF model values SpaceX at $44.23 per share. The IPO prices it at $135.00. The difference is not primarily about discount rates or terminal growth assumptions - those are secondary. The difference is about how much probability you assign to SpaceX successfully executing across Starship commercialization, Starlink Mobile, durable high-margin AI compute contracts, Terafab chip manufacturing, and orbital data centers, all within a 10-year window, while managing $29 billion in debt, a governance structure that limits minority shareholder protection, and competition from the most well-capitalized technology companies in history.

If you assign high probability to all of those outcomes simultaneously, $135 may be defensible. If you weight them as the probability-adjusted outcomes that the engineering timelines and capital requirements suggest, $44 is where the math lands.

Chart 1.1

Estimated value against the market price

USD per share

Real sample output. Figures reflect the market data available when the report ran.

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What happens after you click run

DBOT is a first-pass research and valuation tool for supported public companies. You provide the ticker, your thesis, and the questions you want answered.

It reads recent filings and disclosures, checks news and market data, chooses a valuation method for the business, builds the model, and tests the assumptions that move value most.

Research

Reads recent filings, company disclosures, news, and market data. It checks the evidence for and against your thesis.

Method

Chooses a valuation method that fits the business and identifies the assumptions that matter most.

Valuation

Builds the forecast and model, then tests the inputs that move the estimated value.

Delivery

Returns a sourced written report and an editable Excel workbook built from the same assumptions.

You can check the work

Treat the result as a first draft, not a recommendation. Check the sources, challenge the assumptions, and change the workbook where your view differs.

Evidence: The report links to the filings and research it cites.
Method: The report names the valuation method and explains why it fits the company.
Assumptions: The report writes out and tests the assumptions that matter most for the chosen method.
Workbook: The formulas and editable inputs are in the Excel file.
Judgment: You provide the thesis, review the conclusion, and decide what to change.

The valuation methods are based on Aswath Damodaran’s published frameworks. DBOT grew out of research by Vasant Dhar and João Sedoc at NYU Stern. Read the paper.

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